FI
Funko, Inc. (FNKO)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 was materially disrupted by tariff policy changes and a pause in direct-import orders; net sales of $193.5M declined 21.9% YoY, while gross margin fell to 32.1% from 42.0% due to royalty minimum shortfalls, higher duties, and inventory reserves .
- Revenue modestly exceeded Wall Street consensus, but adjusted EPS and EBITDA missed: Revenue $193.5M vs $183.9M*, adjusted EPS −$0.48 vs −$0.43*, EBITDA −$21.1M vs −$10.5M*; management highlighted resumed shipments, price increases, and sourcing shifts for H2 .
- Guidance framework pivoted to H2-only commentary: net sales down high-single digits vs H2’24, adjusted EBITDA margin mid-to-high single digits, and Q4 to ramp over Q3; FY 2025 guidance remains withdrawn due to tariff uncertainty .
- Near-term stock catalysts: evidence of resumed orders and price realization in Q3, H2 margin trajectory, international POS strength, and balance sheet actions (credit amendment; ATM shelf) vs overhangs from liquidity constraints and going-concern disclosure .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Resumed shipments to direct-import customers in June and implemented U.S. price increases; e-commerce showed “no negative impact on unit volumes” post-price changes, supporting realization initiatives .
- International momentum: POS sales up 18% in H1 and up 28% in Q2, with plans to launch Pop! Yourself in Europe for holiday season; sports products and Bitty Pop lines showed growth .
- Management actions to offset incremental tariff costs in 2025 (~$40M vs prior ~$45M estimate) via pricing, sourcing shifts to Vietnam/other countries, and SG&A reductions (including ~20% workforce reduction) .
“Looking ahead, we expect headwinds to moderate and our business to improve as a result of the actions we've taken to cut costs, diversify product sourcing and adjust prices.” — Interim CEO Mike Lunsford .
What Went Wrong
- Gross margin compressed 990 bps YoY to 32.1% driven by royalty minimum guarantee shortfall, tripling of tariffs on imports, and inventory reserve build; supplemental margin bridge quantified negative impacts from tariffs/reserves despite improved product margins .
- SG&A held elevated at $82.3M vs $77.9M last year (which benefited from a $1.5M non-recurring net benefit), reflecting disruption costs and the ongoing transition period .
- Liquidity and leverage concerns: total debt rose to $256.6M and liquidity stood at ~$54.2M; company received covenant waivers for Q2–Q3 and filed an ATM for up to $40M while disclosing going-concern risks in the 10-Q .
Financial Results
Income Statement and Profitability
Notes: Q2 2025 adjusted net loss of $26.7M; adjusted net loss margin (13.8%) .
Segment Net Sales (Brand Category)
Net Sales by Geography
KPIs and Balance Sheet
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “As expected, our 2025 second quarter performance was impacted by a dynamic and uncertain tariff environment… we expect headwinds to moderate… [through] actions we've taken to cut costs, diversify product sourcing and adjust prices.” — Mike Lunsford, Interim CEO .
- “Gross margin was favorably impacted by ~350 bps from reduced discounting… offset by shortfall in minimum guaranteed royalties, tripling of tariffs, and inventory reserves.” — Yves Le Pendeven, CFO .
- “We expect second half net sales to be down high single digits… adjusted EBITDA margin in the mid- to high-single digits… Q4 to ramp up over Q3.” — CFO .
- “We executed an amendment to our existing credit facilities… waivers for net leverage and fixed charge coverage for Q2 and Q3 2025… filed an ATM of up to $40M.” — CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- EBITDA and margin drivers: Management pointed to ~5 pts margin decline tied directly to tariff announcement and related disruptions; adjusted EBITDA excludes standard non-GAAP items, but SG&A reflected disruption costs .
- Orders and shipping cadence: Pause concentrated in April–May; pricing arrangements allowed resumed shipments in June; some Q2 orders rolled into early Q3; “normal shipping patterns” resuming absent new tariff changes .
- Pricing impact: Early July price increases showed no negative e-commerce unit impact; wholesale POS trends mixed as old vs new price SKUs coexisted, but no meaningful unit dip attributed to pricing .
- Liquidity outlook: Covenant waivers and ATM provide flexibility; focus on refinancing before year-end amid cash collections lag from Q2 disruption .
Estimates Context
Highlights:
- Q2 2025: Revenue beat; adjusted EPS missed; EBITDA missed materially versus consensus*.
- Q1 2025: Revenue roughly in-line; adjusted EPS beat; EBITDA beat versus consensus*.
- Q4 2024: Both revenue and EPS beat modestly; EBITDA above consensus*.
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Execution in H2 is critical: watch for sustained order flow post-resumption, price realization without unit degradation, and margin recovery toward mid-to-high single-digit adjusted EBITDA margins .
- International strength offsets U.S. sell-in disruption: robust POS trends and Europe launch of Pop! Yourself can support top-line stability into holiday .
- Margin path will signal trajectory: improvement from tariff cost offsets (pricing, sourcing, SG&A) vs headwinds (royalty minimum shortfalls, reserves) should drive stock narrative .
- Balance sheet actions reduce near-term risk but add overhang: covenant waivers and ATM enhance flexibility; refinancing efforts and going-concern disclosure require monitoring for dilution or cost of capital outcomes .
- Product/IP momentum remains a lever: Bitty Pop and sports categories plus MLB Pop! Yourself tie-ins can support mix and DTC growth .
- Estimate revisions: Expect models to incorporate lower H1 margins and H2 directional guidance; consensus likely needs tighter EBITDA assumptions and tariff offsets, despite a Q2 revenue beat*.
- Near-term trading lens: headlines around pricing resilience, Q3 order cadence, and H2 margin proof points are potential upside catalysts; any signs of additional tariff shocks or liquidity stress would be downside risks .
Citations: Press release Q2 2025 ; Form 8-K Q2 2025 ; Earnings call transcript Q2 2025 ; Q1 2025 press release/8-K ; Q4 2024 press release/8-K ; Credit agreement amendment ; Interim CEO appointment ; MLB Pop! Yourself .